Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2015/2016

Ciudad Rodrigo CF

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Villamuriel play Ciudad Rodrigo CF in the Tercera Division - Group 8 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Villamuriel averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Ciudad Rodrigo CF averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, CD Villamuriel won 2, Ciudad Rodrigo CF won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2016 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for CD Villamuriel and 0.86 for Ciudad Rodrigo CF. This points to a CD Villamuriel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

CD Villamuriel

23%

Draws

27%

Ciudad Rodrigo CF

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: CD Villamuriel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

CD Villamuriel picked up more points recently compared to Ciudad Rodrigo CF.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

CD Villamuriel Clean Sheet 25%

Ciudad Rodrigo CF Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Villamuriel	Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	5
Draws	4	10
Losses	17	15
Goals Scored	0.97	1
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

CD Villamuriel vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Dec 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs CD Villamuriel

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Villamuriel 50 / 100

Ciudad Rodrigo CF 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Villamuriel Ciudad Rodrigo CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Villamuriel or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Villamuriel attacking → ← attacking Ciudad Rodrigo CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Villamuriel scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Ciudad Rodrigo CF let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Villamuriel went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad Rodrigo CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 25

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zamora	38	25	9	4	75:29	84
2	Gimnastica Segoviana	38	23	8	7	74:32	77
3	CD Palencia (Inactive 2019)	38	23	6	9	64:26	75
4	Villaralbo	38	22	5	11	52:26	71
5	La Baneza	38	20	10	8	53:30	70
6	La Virgen	38	18	8	12	55:52	62
7	Atletico Tordesillas	38	15	9	14	52:53	54
8	Bembibre	38	14	11	13	48:44	53
9	Sporting Uxama	38	15	6	17	37:53	51
10	Numancia B	38	14	8	16	51:43	50
11	Almazan	38	13	10	15	50:53	49
12	CD Cebrerena	38	12	10	16	55:61	46
13	CD Villamuriel	38	12	10	16	38:47	46
14	Bupolsa	38	12	10	16	37:41	46
15	Burgos CF B	38	11	10	17	33:50	43
16	Palencia CA	38	10	10	18	40:63	40
17	Mirandes II	38	10	6	22	39:67	36
18	Ciudad Rodrigo CF	38	9	9	20	38:68	36
19	Santa Marta Tormes	38	8	12	18	37:57	36
20	Becerril	38	4	13	21	34:67	25