Sport Picks
CD Vitoria vs Lagun Onak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 
Match Events
70'
70'
Arreitunandia A.
89'
89'
Collado U.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Vitoria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Vitoria have won more games recently than Lagun Onak.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on CD Vitoria taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Vitoria | Lagun Onak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 1 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.47 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs CD Vitoria
0:2
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Lagun Onak
1:1
Feb 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs CD Vitoria
1:1
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Lagun Onak
0:0
Jan 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs CD Vitoria
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Vitoria Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Lagun Onak Compare
Top Goalscorer Arreitunandia A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Vitoria 68 / 100
Lagun Onak 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Vitoria Lagun Onak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Vitoria found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Lagun Onak let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Recent resilience: CD Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lagun Onak
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Vitoria
(Home) 11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2 Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1 CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0 Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0 CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0 Beasain
Page 1 of 6
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2 Pasaia
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0 Touring KE
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0 Beasain
05 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0 Derio
23 Mar
CD Vitoria
3 : 1 Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 3
Lagun Onak
(Away) 03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2 UD Aretxabaleta
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1 Leioa
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
24 May
Derio
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
09 May
Leioa
2 : 3 Lagun Onak
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2 Lagun Onak
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 65:17 | 82 |
| 2 | Basconia | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 54:32 | 64 |
| 3 | Beasain | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:36 | 63 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 45:29 | 61 |
| 5 | Portugalete | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 43:33 | 57 |
| 7 | SCD Durango | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:47 | 50 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 49:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Leioa | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 46:51 | 45 |
| 10 | Urduliz FT | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | 42 |
| 11 | Derio | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Alaves C | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:42 | 40 |
| 13 | Touring KE | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 14 | Padura | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 23:42 | 34 |
| 16 | Anaitasuna FT | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:51 | 32 |
| 17 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26:54 | 24 |
| 18 | Anorga | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 31:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
