Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Vitoria vs San Ignacio

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Lopez J.
88' Event
Madariaga A.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Galarza A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between CD Vitoria and San Ignacio finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Vitoria
20%
Draws
33%
San Ignacio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • San Ignacio haven't matched CD Vitoria's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CD Vitoria's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Vitoria San Ignacio
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 23 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 1.87 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.47 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs CD Vitoria
2:0
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs San Ignacio
3:0
Mar 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs CD Vitoria
0:1
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs San Ignacio
1:1
Apr 14, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs CD Vitoria
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galarza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

San Ignacio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Vitoria 49 / 100
San Ignacio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Vitoria San Ignacio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Vitoria found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

CD Vitoria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Ignacio let in goals in 54% of their last 39 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Ignacio
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Vitoria

(Home)
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2
Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1
CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0
CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Beasain
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San Ignacio

(Away)
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2
San Ignacio
03 May
San Ignacio
0 : 1
Alaves C
25 Apr
Aurrera de Vitoria
0 : 1
San Ignacio
19 Apr
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Leioa
11 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 1
San Ignacio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)