Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CDC Montalegre vs AD Limianos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Gomes A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between CDC Montalegre and AD Limianos finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Limianos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
CDC Montalegre
35%
Draws
44%
AD Limianos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • AD Limianos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AD Limianos a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 20%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDC Montalegre AD Limianos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs AD Limianos
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs CDC Montalegre
2:3
Sep 9, 2021 Taça de Portugal
AD Limianos vs CDC Montalegre
3:2
Mar 3, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs AD Limianos
1:0
Oct 7, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs CDC Montalegre
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CDC Montalegre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDC Montalegre 10 / 100
AD Limianos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDC Montalegre AD Limianos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Limianos has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CDC Montalegre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CDC Montalegre's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CDC Montalegre VS AD Limianos
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.25
60% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CDC Montalegre

(Home)
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
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AD Limianos

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)