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CDFC La Calzada vs Arnedo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Baztan A.
8' Event
Garrido S.
44' Event
Chacon A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between CDFC La Calzada and Arnedo finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CDFC La Calzada
15%
Draws
0%
Arnedo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Arnedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CDFC La Calzada are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 68%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDFC La Calzada Arnedo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.14 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Arnedo
1:4
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CDFC La Calzada
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CDFC La Calzada
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Arnedo
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Arnedo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CDFC La Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Baztan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garrido S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chacon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDFC La Calzada 95 / 100
Arnedo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDFC La Calzada Arnedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Arnedo has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: CDFC La Calzada scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Arnedo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

CDFC La Calzada VS Arnedo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CDFC La Calzada

(Home)
04 Oct
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 0
Comillas CF
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

Arnedo

(Away)
04 Oct
Arnedo
1 : 2
Ebro
27 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Arnedo
20 Sept
Arnedo
0 : 1
Terrassa
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)