Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CDFC La Calzada vs San Marcial Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 game between CDFC La Calzada and San Marcial finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDFC La Calzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CDFC La Calzada
20%
Draws
29%
San Marcial
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • San Marcial haven't matched CDFC La Calzada's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on CDFC La Calzada taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDFC La Calzada San Marcial
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs CDFC La Calzada
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs San Marcial
0:1
Feb 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs San Marcial
2:0
Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs CDFC La Calzada
1:2
Apr 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs CDFC La Calzada
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDFC La Calzada 67 / 100
San Marcial 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDFC La Calzada San Marcial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CDFC La Calzada scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

San Marcial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CDFC La Calzada remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CDFC La Calzada VS San Marcial
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CDFC La Calzada

(Home)
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1
Mirandes
Page 1 of 8

San Marcial

(Away)
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1
Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Calahorra 38 30 5 3 116:20 95
2 Naxara 38 28 7 3 117:30 91
3 SD Logrones 38 29 4 5 110:25 91
4 Anguiano 38 29 4 5 115:40 91
5 Haro Deportivo 38 28 7 3 115:33 91
6 Varea 37 27 4 6 91:28 85
7 Alfaro 38 24 3 11 78:56 75
8 UD Logrones B 38 20 5 13 64:45 65
9 Agoncillo 38 13 6 19 50:60 45
10 Oyonesa 38 11 6 21 45:74 39
11 Vianes 37 12 2 23 45:112 38
12 CD Tedeon 38 9 10 19 43:68 37
13 Arnedo 38 8 11 19 39:67 35
14 River Ebro 37 9 8 20 48:80 35
15 Casalarreina CF 38 9 6 23 42:78 33
16 Villegas 38 9 6 23 37:85 33
17 Calasancio 38 8 7 23 24:77 31
18 CDFC La Calzada 38 8 5 25 35:84 29
19 San Marcial 37 5 7 25 44:106 22
20 CF Rapid 38 2 7 29 24:114 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)