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CDR Quarteirense vs Aljustrelense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2014/2015 game between CDR Quarteirense and Aljustrelense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDR Quarteirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CDR Quarteirense
20%
Draws
38%
Aljustrelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDR Quarteirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aljustrelense come out ahead of CDR Quarteirense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CDR Quarteirense's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CDR Quarteirense Clean Sheet 20%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDR Quarteirense Aljustrelense
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 4 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.67 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs CDR Quarteirense
2:1
Mar 1, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
CDR Quarteirense vs Aljustrelense
3:1
Dec 7, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs CDR Quarteirense
1:1
Sep 14, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
CDR Quarteirense vs Aljustrelense
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDR Quarteirense 42 / 100
Aljustrelense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDR Quarteirense Aljustrelense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aljustrelense conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Aljustrelense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

CDR Quarteirense's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CDR Quarteirense VS Aljustrelense
0.67 Goals Scored 0.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 2.25
33% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Angrense1465319:1841
2Moura AC1475219:837
3Lusitano VRSA1445520:1831
4SC Praiense1445520:2330
5Atletico SC1449117:1227
6Aljustrelense1435617:3123
7CDR Quarteirense1436519:1522
8Ferreiras1426617:2322