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CE Atletic Lleida vs SD Ibiza

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Garros B.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Garros B.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between CE Atletic Lleida and SD Ibiza finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CE Atletic Lleida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
CE Atletic Lleida
20%
Draws
56%
SD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Ibiza come out ahead of CE Atletic Lleida on wins alone.
  • SD Ibiza are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
CE Atletic Lleida Clean Sheet 14%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Atletic Lleida SD Ibiza
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
CE Atletic Lleida vs SD Ibiza
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
SD Ibiza vs CE Atletic Lleida
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Atletic Lleida Compare

Top Goalscorer Garros B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

SD Ibiza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Atletic Lleida 19 / 100
SD Ibiza 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Atletic Lleida SD Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ibiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ibiza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

CE Atletic Lleida's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: CE Atletic Lleida stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CE Atletic Lleida VS SD Ibiza
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Atletic Lleida

(Home)
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
06 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 2
Cornella
22 Aug
CE Manresa
1 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
16 Aug
Reus FC Reddis
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
Page 1 of 6

SD Ibiza

(Away)
20 Sept
SD Ibiza
1 : 0
Sineu
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
08 Aug
UD Ibiza
1 : 0
SD Ibiza
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1
UD Poblense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)