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CE Flamengo vs Leonico

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CE Flamengo play Leonico in the Baiano 2 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, CE Flamengo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Leonico averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. In past meetings, CE Flamengo won 1, Leonico won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 11, 2014 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for CE Flamengo and 1.05 for Leonico. This points to a CE Flamengo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
CE Flamengo
24%
Draws
26%
Leonico
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • CE Flamengo picked up more points recently compared to Leonico.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 22%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Flamengo Leonico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.8 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Leonico
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Flamengo 49 / 100
Leonico 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Flamengo Leonico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CE Flamengo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CE Flamengo attacking → ← attacking Leonico

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Flamengo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Leonico let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

CE Flamengo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Leonico lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 24
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo972019:123
2Jacobina962115:420
3CE Flamengo962122:1220
4Alagoinhas951318:1216
5Itabuna940513:1112
6Fluminense de Feira93338:1012
7EC Ypiranga932414:1211
8Jequie932412:1311
9Leonico90187:221
10Ipitanga90184:351