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CE Flamengo vs Leonico

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2014 game between CE Flamengo and Leonico finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CE Flamengo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CE Flamengo
15%
Draws
39%
Leonico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Leonico haven't matched CE Flamengo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 20%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Flamengo Leonico
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.09 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Leonico
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Flamengo 31 / 100
Leonico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Flamengo Leonico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CE Flamengo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

CE Flamengo found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

CE Flamengo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leonico
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Flamengo

(Home)
10 Jul
Botafogo BA
1 : 1
CE Flamengo
03 Jul
CE Flamengo
1 : 0
Jacobinense
29 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
1 : 0
CE Flamengo
26 Jun
CE Flamengo
4 : 0
Canaa EC
20 Jun
Itabuna
2 : 1
CE Flamengo
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Leonico

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 9 7 2 0 19:1 23
2 Jacobina 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
3 CE Flamengo 9 6 2 1 22:12 20
4 Alagoinhas 9 5 1 3 18:12 16
5 Itabuna 9 4 0 5 13:11 12
6 Fluminense de Feira 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 EC Ypiranga 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
8 Jequie 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Leonico 9 0 1 8 7:22 1
10 Ipitanga 9 0 1 8 4:35 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2014 (Play Offs)