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CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Beto
84' Event
Patrickao

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CEAC/Araruama
44%
Draws
20%
Sao Goncalo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Goncalo average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of CEAC/Araruama's 0.63.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama Sao Goncalo
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs CEAC/Araruama
0:0
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Sao Goncalo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Top Goalscorer Beto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sao Goncalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrickao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 36 / 100
Sao Goncalo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama Sao Goncalo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Sao Goncalo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

CEAC/Araruama went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama VS Sao Goncalo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179