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CEAC/Araruama vs America RJ

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Rio 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CEAC/Araruama
30%
Draws
34%
America RJ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CEAC/Araruama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • America RJ have won more games recently than CEAC/Araruama.
  • Model gives CEAC/Araruama a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 68%
America RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama America RJ
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Carioca 2
America RJ vs CEAC/Araruama
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Rio
America RJ vs CEAC/Araruama
1:0
Sep 3, 2025 Copa Rio
CEAC/Araruama vs America RJ
0:0
Jul 6, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs America RJ
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 Carioca 2
America RJ vs CEAC/Araruama
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 46 / 100
America RJ 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama America RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

America RJ has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

CEAC/Araruama went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

America RJ's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama VS America RJ
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
CEAC/Araruama3
Sampaio Correa FE1
Olaria0
Nova Iguacu1
Cabofriense2
Boavista1
America RJ2
Audax RJ0
Goncalense0
Marica3
Duque de Caxias1
Madureira2
Campo Grande0
Bangu3
Resende2
Portuguesa RJ3
Quarter-finals
CEAC/Araruama3
Nova Iguacu2
Cabofriense2
America RJ5
Marica6
Madureira1
Bangu0
Portuguesa RJ1
Semi-finals
CEAC/Araruama0
America RJ1
Marica1
Portuguesa RJ3
Final
America RJ1
Portuguesa RJ2