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CEAC/Araruama vs Duque de Caxias

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
CEAC/Araruama
28%
Draws
22%
Duque de Caxias
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CEAC/Araruama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CEAC/Araruama at 1 per game, Duque de Caxias at 0.6.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on CEAC/Araruama taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 68%
Duque de Caxias Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama Duque de Caxias
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Duque de Caxias
0:0
Jun 8, 2024 Carioca 2
Duque de Caxias vs CEAC/Araruama
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 59 / 100
Duque de Caxias 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama Duque de Caxias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Duque de Caxias let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: CEAC/Araruama stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Duque de Caxias registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama VS Duque de Caxias
1 Goals Scored 0.6
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

CEAC/Araruama

(Home)
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
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Duque de Caxias

(Away)
23 Jun
Olaria
4 : 0
Duque de Caxias
17 Jun
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2
Olaria
22 Nov
Bonsucesso
2 : 0
Duque de Caxias
15 Nov
Duque de Caxias
1 : 0
Bonsucesso
08 Nov
AA Carapebus
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Goncalo1154213:819
2Bangu1144311:816
3CEAC/Araruama114438:916
4Olaria1143414:1015
5Resende114348:1015
6America RJ113537:714
7Cabofriense113539:1014
8Perolas Negras1134410:1013
9Americano1144313:1012
10Audax RJ1133511:1512
11Duque de Caxias113358:1212
12Goncalense112639:1212
Promotion - Carioca 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 2025 (Main)