Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CEAC/Araruama vs Olaria

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Juan

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between CEAC/Araruama and Olaria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CEAC/Araruama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CEAC/Araruama
39%
Draws
30%
Olaria
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CEAC/Araruama have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Olaria are scoring more at 1.38.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 23%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama Olaria
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Olaria
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs CEAC/Araruama
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 Carioca 2
Olaria vs CEAC/Araruama
2:1
May 27, 2023 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Olaria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Top Goalscorer Juan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Olaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 33 / 100
Olaria 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama Olaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CEAC/Araruama has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Olaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama VS Olaria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CEAC/Araruama

(Home)
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
Page 1 of 6

Olaria

(Away)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
23 Jun
Olaria
4 : 0
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)