Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CEAC/Araruama vs Olaria

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Juan

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between CEAC/Araruama and Olaria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CEAC/Araruama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
CEAC/Araruama
30%
Draws
29%
Olaria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CEAC/Araruama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • CEAC/Araruama have managed 0.81 goals a game lately — Olaria are scoring more at 1.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on CEAC/Araruama taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 68%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama Olaria
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 12
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.81 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Olaria
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs CEAC/Araruama
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 Carioca 2
Olaria vs CEAC/Araruama
2:1
May 27, 2023 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Olaria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Top Goalscorer Juan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Olaria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 46 / 100
Olaria 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama Olaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

CEAC/Araruama has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: CEAC/Araruama scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Olaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama VS Olaria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CEAC/Araruama

(Home)
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
Page 1 of 7

Olaria

(Away)
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0
Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)