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Ceahlaul II vs CSM Bacau

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025
Ceahlaul II Logo

Ceahlaul II

0 - 3
FT
CSM Bacau Logo

CSM Bacau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CSM Bacau in this Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSM Bacau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ceahlaul II
20%
Draws
30%
CSM Bacau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceahlaul II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Bacau lately — more wins on the board than Ceahlaul II.
  • Win probability leans Ceahlaul II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSM Bacau here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ceahlaul II Clean Sheet 10%
CSM Bacau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceahlaul II CSM Bacau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.73 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul II vs CSM Bacau
0:3
Oct 26, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Ceahlaul II
3:1
May 13, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Ceahlaul II
2:0
Nov 12, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul II vs CSM Bacau
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceahlaul II 83 / 100
CSM Bacau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceahlaul II CSM Bacau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceahlaul II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Bacau let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ceahlaul II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: CSM Bacau has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ceahlaul II VS CSM Bacau
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceahlaul II

(Home)
23 May
Ceahlaul II
0 : 1
Somuz Falticeni
17 May
ACS USV Iasi
3 : 0
Ceahlaul II
09 May
Ceahlaul II
5 : 2
Bucovina Radauti
03 May
Soimii Gura Humorului
1 : 1
Ceahlaul II
25 Apr
Ceahlaul II
1 : 1
CSM Vaslui
Page 1 of 6

CSM Bacau

(Away)
30 Jul
CSM Vaslui
15 : 0
CSM Bacau
17 May
CSM Bacau
2 : 3
FC Bacau
10 May
Gloria Ultra
2 : 3
CSM Bacau
03 May
Stiinta Miroslava
3 : 2
CSM Bacau
25 Apr
FC Bacau
3 : 0
CSM Bacau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 18 14 2 2 50:11 44
2 Stiinta Miroslava 18 11 4 3 55:25 37
3 CSM Bacau 18 10 3 5 25:23 33
4 Gloria Ultra 18 8 6 4 26:12 30
5 CSM Vaslui 18 9 3 6 35:32 30
6 Bucovina Radauti 18 7 4 7 20:26 25
7 Somuz Falticeni 18 4 6 8 17:28 18
8 Soimii Gura Humorului 18 3 5 10 17:35 14
9 ACS USV Iasi 18 3 3 12 19:44 12
10 Ceahlaul II 18 2 2 14 10:38 8
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)