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Ceara U20 vs Caucaia U20

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Cearense U20 2025
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Match Events

31' Event
Pedro Esli
60'
Kaliel
60'
Kaliel

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2025 game between Ceara U20 and Caucaia U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceara U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ceara U20
6%
Draws
4%
Caucaia U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ceara U20 come out ahead of Caucaia U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ceara U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Caucaia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara U20 Caucaia U20
Matches Played 37 25
Wins 28 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Caucaia U20
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Cearense U20
Caucaia U20 vs Ceara U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Esli
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Caucaia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara U20 95 / 100
Caucaia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara U20 Caucaia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara U20 scored in 84% of their last 37 games.

Recent resilience: Ceara U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Caucaia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ceara U20 VS Caucaia U20
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U203
Caucaia U202
Floresta EC U204
Ferroviario U205
Fortaleza U202
Atletico Cearense U201
Quixada U204
Tirol U203
Semi-finals
Ceara U201
Ferroviario U203
Fortaleza U207
Quixada U201
Final
Ferroviario U201
Fortaleza U206