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Ceara U20 vs Caucaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Pedro Esli
60'
Kaliel
60'
Kaliel

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Ceara U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ceara U20
30%
Draws
19%
Caucaia U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ceara U20 come out ahead of Caucaia U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ceara U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ceara U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Caucaia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara U20 Caucaia U20
Matches Played 45 26
Wins 32 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.44 1.08
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Caucaia U20
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Cearense U20
Caucaia U20 vs Ceara U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Esli
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Caucaia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara U20 95 / 100
Caucaia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara U20 Caucaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara U20 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (45 games).

Ceara U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Caucaia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ceara U20 VS Caucaia U20
2.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
08 Aug
Ceara U20
1 : 1
Tirol U20
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 9

Caucaia U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2
Fortaleza U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
23 May
Caucaia U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
09 May
Juazeiro CE U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U20 3
Caucaia U20 2
Floresta EC U20 4
Ferroviario U20 5
Fortaleza U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 1
Quixada U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Semi-finals
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 3
Fortaleza U20 7
Quixada U20 1
Final
Ferroviario U20 1
Fortaleza U20 6