Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
dos Santos Clementino F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Ferroviario U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Ceara U20
20%
Draws
36%
Ferroviario U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Ceara U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ceara U20 a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Ceara U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ferroviario U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara U20 Ferroviario U20
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 23 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.15 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
0:0
Oct 2, 2025 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20
2:2
Sep 7, 2024 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Clementino F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara U20 86 / 100
Ferroviario U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara U20 Ferroviario U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara U20 scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: Ceara U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ferroviario U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ceara U20 VS Ferroviario U20
3 Goals Scored 0.83
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 33%
88% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
08 Aug
Ceara U20
1 : 1
Tirol U20
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 7

Ferroviario U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U20 3
Caucaia U20 2
Floresta EC U20 4
Ferroviario U20 5
Fortaleza U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 1
Quixada U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Semi-finals
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 3
Fortaleza U20 7
Quixada U20 1
Final
Ferroviario U20 1
Fortaleza U20 6