Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceara vs Botafogo SP

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza
Ceara Logo

Ceara

0 - 1
FT
Botafogo SP Logo

Botafogo SP

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Yuri Felipe
50'
Sub
Gabriel Inocencio In: Pedro Souza
Out: Gabriel Inocencio
54'
Sub
Fernando In: Costa S.
Out: Fernando
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ceara and Botafogo SP finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ceara
15%
Draws
0%
Botafogo SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ceara's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what Botafogo SP have produced (1.07).
  • Win probability leans Ceara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ceara Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara Botafogo SP
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Botafogo SP
0:1
Nov 13, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Ceara
1:4
Jul 26, 2024 Serie B
Ceara vs Botafogo SP
4:1
Nov 4, 2023 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Ceara
2:2
Jul 8, 2023 Serie B
Ceara vs Botafogo SP
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Gava
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara 95 / 100
Botafogo SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara Botafogo SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Botafogo SP has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ceara scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceara VS Botafogo SP
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara

(Home)
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1
Ceara
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Sport Recife
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Ceara
22 Aug
Ceara
2 : 1
Londrina
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo SP

(Away)
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
25 Aug
Atletico GO
3 : 0
Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 28 14 8 6 48:25 50
2 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
3 Vila Nova FC 28 14 6 8 40:31 48
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 28 12 10 6 36:26 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 28 10 11 7 37:28 41
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
12 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
13 Sao Bernardo 28 10 8 10 39:31 38
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29:36 32
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 28 4 5 19 21:48 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)