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Ceara vs CRB

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceara host CRB in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ceara at 0.63 goals for, 1.38 against; CRB at 1.63 for, 2.25 against. Head-to-head, Ceara have won 1 to CRB's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2024, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.50) point toward Ceara. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ceara
30%
Draws
34%
CRB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CRB at 1.63 per game, Ceara at 0.63.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ceara taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ceara Clean Sheet 16%
CRB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara CRB
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2024 Serie B
CRB vs Ceara
0:2
May 24, 2024 Copa Betano do Brasil
Ceara vs CRB
0:1
May 6, 2024 Serie B
Ceara vs CRB
2:2
May 2, 2024 Copa Betano do Brasil
CRB vs Ceara
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Serie B
CRB vs Ceara
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara 36 / 100
CRB 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara CRB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

CRB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ceara has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceara VS CRB
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara

(Home)
17 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Ceara
13 Jul
Ceara
0 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Jul
Goias
2 : 0
Ceara
28 Jun
EC Juventude
2 : 0
Ceara
20 Jun
Ceara
0 : 1
Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 6

CRB

(Away)
16 Jul
CRB
2 : 1
Nautico
12 Jul
CRB
2 : 2
Goias
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
30 Jun
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
CRB
21 Jun
CRB
1 : 1
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma18106222:1236
2EC Juventude1895419:832
3Operario-PR1895424:2032
4Vila Nova FC1894525:2131
5Fortaleza1894521:1731
6Novorizontino1886428:1730
7Goias1884620:2428
8Sao Bernardo1876524:1727
9Sport Recife1869323:1727
10Atletico GO1867519:1925
11Cuiaba1859414:1324
12Athletic Club1859416:1624
13CRB1865728:3223
14Nautico1863922:2321
15Botafogo SP1856720:1821
16Londrina1855825:2520
17Ceara1847716:2119
18Avai1845919:2517
19Ponte Preta18221412:358
20America MG18151212:298
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)