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Ceara vs Goias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceara host Goias in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Ceara at 1.03 goals for, 1.33 against; Goias at 0.97 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Ceara have won 0 to Goias's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.13) point toward Goias. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ceara
20%
Draws
42%
Goias
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Goias have won more games recently than Ceara.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Ceara taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ceara Clean Sheet 20%
Goias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara Goias
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Ceara
2:0
Aug 13, 2024 Serie B
Goias vs Ceara
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 Serie B
Ceara vs Goias
1:1
Oct 5, 2022 Serie A
Ceara vs Goias
1:1
Jun 12, 2022 Serie A
Goias vs Ceara
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara 40 / 100
Goias 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara Goias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Goias conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ceara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceara VS Goias
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara

(Home)
17 Oct
Ceara
2 : 2
EC Juventude
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0
Ceara
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0
Criciuma
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1
Ceara
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
Page 1 of 6

Goias

(Away)
11 Oct
Operario-PR
0 : 2
Goias
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1
Athletic Club
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Goias
26 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Atletico GO
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 33 18 7 8 46:31 61
2 EC Juventude 34 17 10 7 41:23 61
3 Novorizontino 33 17 9 7 59:28 60
4 Fortaleza 34 16 12 6 41:29 60
5 Criciuma 33 16 8 9 34:28 56
6 Atletico GO 34 14 12 8 42:32 54
7 CRB 33 15 7 11 51:47 52
8 Sport Recife 34 13 12 9 45:37 51
9 Goias 33 14 6 13 34:40 48
10 Operario-PR 34 13 9 12 44:46 48
11 Cuiaba 33 11 14 8 32:26 47
12 Sao Bernardo 33 12 10 11 46:36 46
13 Ceara 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
14 Athletic Club 33 10 13 10 40:39 43
15 Nautico 33 11 9 13 39:42 42
16 Botafogo SP 33 11 8 14 37:38 41
17 Avai 33 10 6 17 33:43 36
18 Londrina 33 7 8 18 42:49 29
19 America MG 34 5 5 24 22:54 20
20 Ponte Preta 34 3 5 26 19:74 14
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)