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Ceara W vs Perolas Negras W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women Cidade Vozão, itaitinga
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Pamela
45'
Bia Alves
45'
Bia Alves

AI Match Summary

Perolas Negras W in this Brasileiro A2 Women matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perolas Negras W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ceara W
30%
Draws
35%
Perolas Negras W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Perolas Negras W lately — more wins on the board than Ceara W.
  • Win probability leans Perolas Negras W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 16%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara W Perolas Negras W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Ceara W vs Perolas Negras W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Perolas Negras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pamela
2 Goals
Assists Leader Geisi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara W 28 / 100
Perolas Negras W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara W Perolas Negras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perolas Negras W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ceara W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Ceara W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ceara W VS Perolas Negras W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara W

(Home)
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
Page 1 of 6

Perolas Negras W

(Away)
08 Aug
Perolas Negras W
2 : 3
3B da Amazonia W
02 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 0
Perolas Negras W
25 Jul
Acao W
0 : 0
Perolas Negras W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
22 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
1 : 1
Perolas Negras W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)