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Ceara W vs Ypiranga AP W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 Cidade Vozão, itaitinga
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Match Events

62' Event
Giovanna

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ceara W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ceara W
15%
Draws
42%
Ypiranga AP W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ceara W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ceara W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 19%
Ypiranga AP W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara W Ypiranga AP W
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.72 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Ypiranga AP W vs Ceara W
1:1
May 18, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Ceara W vs Ypiranga AP W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Giovanna
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.86

Ypiranga AP W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara W 31 / 100
Ypiranga AP W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara W Ypiranga AP W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga AP W let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Ceara W scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ypiranga AP W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ceara W VS Ypiranga AP W
1 Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.43
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara W

(Home)
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
Page 1 of 7

Ypiranga AP W

(Away)
13 May
UD Alagoana W
4 : 1
Ypiranga AP W
02 May
Ypiranga AP W
0 : 2
Portuguesa AP W
29 Apr
Paraiso EC W
1 : 2
Ypiranga AP W
25 Apr
Tiradentes PA W
3 : 0
Ypiranga AP W
18 Apr
Sao Raimundo RR W
3 : 1
Ypiranga AP W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atletico-PI W 7
Tuna Luso W 2
Ypiranga AP W 1
Ceara W 2
UD Alagoana W 5
Juventude W 4
Doce Mel W 4
Ipojuca W 3
Vila Nova FC W 7
Rolim de Moura W 2
Galvez W 2
Operario MS W 4
Perolas Negras W 3
Brasil de Farroupilha W 1
Coritiba W 0
Itabirito W 3
Quarter-finals
Atletico-PI W 5
Ceara W 2
UD Alagoana W 1
Doce Mel W 2
Vila Nova FC W 3
Operario MS W 2
Perolas Negras W 2
Itabirito W 3
Semi-finals
Atletico-PI W 6
Doce Mel W 1
Vila Nova FC W 5
Itabirito W 4
Final
Atletico-PI W 5
Vila Nova FC W 2