Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cebu FC vs Kaya FC

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Maquiling L.

AI Match Summary

Cebu FC in this PFL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cebu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cebu FC
22%
Draws
60%
Kaya FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kaya FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Kaya FC have won more games recently than Cebu FC.
  • Model gives Kaya FC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular PFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cebu FC Clean Sheet 11%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cebu FC Kaya FC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Kaya FC
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Kaya FC
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Cebu FC
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Cebu FC
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 PFL
Cebu FC vs Kaya FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cebu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Maquiling L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kaya FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebu FC 18 / 100
Kaya FC 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cebu FC Kaya FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cebu FC scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Kaya FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cebu FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cebu FC VS Kaya FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manila Digger251861109:1760
2Taguig25184391:1558
3Kaya FC25153776:2148
4Cebu FC25146574:2548
5Davao Aguilas25124951:3440
6Stallion25910664:3137