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Cebu FC vs Don Bosco Garelli

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Yamaguchi Y.
13' Event
Ngai D.
21' Event
Asano K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2025/2026 game between Cebu FC and Don Bosco Garelli finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cebu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cebu FC
30%
Draws
47%
Don Bosco Garelli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Don Bosco Garelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cebu FC come out ahead of Don Bosco Garelli on wins alone.
  • Model gives Don Bosco Garelli a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cebu FC have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cebu FC Clean Sheet 10%
Don Bosco Garelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cebu FC Don Bosco Garelli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.94 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.23 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Don Bosco Garelli
4:2
Oct 4, 2025 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Cebu FC
0:6
Jun 1, 2024 PFL
Cebu FC vs Don Bosco Garelli
16:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cebu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapawa W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sudo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Don Bosco Garelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamaguchi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ngai D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebu FC 10 / 100
Don Bosco Garelli 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cebu FC Don Bosco Garelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Bosco Garelli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Bosco Garelli has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 10.00 goals per match.

Cebu FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cebu FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cebu FC VS Don Bosco Garelli
1.25 Goals Scored 4.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Cebu FC

(Home)
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
27 May
Stallion
1 : 1
Cebu FC
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
20 May
Taguig
1 : 1
Cebu FC
Page 1 of 7

Don Bosco Garelli

(Away)
24 May
Maharlika Manila
3 : 2
Don Bosco Garelli
20 May
Don Bosco Garelli
8 : 1
Philippine Army
10 May
Tuloy
2 : 4
Don Bosco Garelli
06 May
Don Bosco Garelli
3 : 3
Mendiola FC 1991
25 Apr
Don Bosco Garelli
9 : 1
Philippine Army
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 20 17 3 0 103:13 54
2 Taguig 20 17 1 2 84:9 52
3 Cebu FC 20 13 3 4 70:21 42
4 Kaya FC 20 13 2 5 68:13 41
5 Stallion 20 9 6 5 58:22 33
6 Davao Aguilas 20 10 2 8 45:28 32
7 Maharlika Manila 20 9 2 9 43:35 29
8 Don Bosco Garelli 20 5 0 15 32:74 15
9 Tuloy 20 3 2 15 27:119 11
10 Mendiola FC 1991 20 2 1 17 13:99 7
11 Philippine Army 20 0 2 18 14:124 2
Promotion - PFL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL 2025/2026 (Placement Group)