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Cebu FC vs Don Bosco Garelli

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cebu FC play Don Bosco Garelli in the PFL. Cebu FC are favorites here. Recently, Cebu FC averaged 2.97 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Don Bosco Garelli averaged 1.9 goals scored and 4.1 conceded. In past meetings, Cebu FC won 3, Don Bosco Garelli won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Cebu FC and 2.81 for Don Bosco Garelli. This points to a Cebu FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cebu FC
15%
Draws
27%
Don Bosco Garelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cebu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Cebu FC picked up more points recently compared to Don Bosco Garelli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Cebu FC Clean Sheet 10%
Don Bosco Garelli Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cebu FC Don Bosco Garelli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.97 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.29 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Don Bosco Garelli
4:2
Oct 4, 2025 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Cebu FC
0:6
Jun 1, 2024 PFL
Cebu FC vs Don Bosco Garelli
16:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cebu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapawa W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sudo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Don Bosco Garelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamaguchi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ngai D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebu FC 54 / 100
Don Bosco Garelli 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cebu FC Don Bosco Garelli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cebu FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cebu FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cebu FC attacking → ← attacking Don Bosco Garelli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cebu FC scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Don Bosco Garelli let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Cebu FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Don Bosco Garelli lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 31
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 3.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manila Digger201730103:1354
2Taguig20171284:952
3Cebu FC20133470:2142
4Kaya FC20132568:1341
5Stallion2096558:2233
6Davao Aguilas20102845:2832
7Maharlika Manila2092943:3529
8Don Bosco Garelli20501532:7415
9Tuloy20321527:11911
10Mendiola FC 199120211713:997
11Philippine Army20021814:1242