Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cebu FC vs Philippine Army

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cebu FC play Philippine Army in the PFL. Cebu FC are favorites here. Recently, Cebu FC averaged 2.58 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Philippine Army averaged 0.77 goals scored and 5.33 conceded. In past meetings, Cebu FC won 3, Philippine Army won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 11, 2026 ended 10:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.50 for Cebu FC and 1.31 for Philippine Army. This points to a Cebu FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Cebu FC
15%
Draws
12%
Philippine Army
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cebu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cebu FC picked up more points recently compared to Philippine Army.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.50 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Cebu FC Clean Sheet 18%
Philippine Army Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cebu FC Philippine Army
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 27
Goals Scored 2.58 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.23 5.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 5.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Philippine Army
10:2
Nov 22, 2025 PFL
Philippine Army vs Cebu FC
0:5
Jun 29, 2024 PFL
Cebu FC vs Philippine Army
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cebu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sy A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Demiroglu G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Philippine Army Compare

Top Goalscorer Ariola J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebu FC 69 / 100
Philippine Army 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cebu FC Philippine Army

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cebu FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cebu FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cebu FC attacking → ← attacking Philippine Army

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cebu FC scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Philippine Army let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Cebu FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Philippine Army lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 5
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manila Digger201730103:1354
2Taguig20171284:952
3Cebu FC20133470:2142
4Kaya FC20132568:1341
5Stallion2096558:2233
6Davao Aguilas20102845:2832
7Maharlika Manila2092943:3529
8Don Bosco Garelli20501532:7415
9Tuloy20321527:11911
10Mendiola FC 199120211713:997
11Philippine Army20021814:1242