Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Jones I.
AI Match Summary
Buckley in this League Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Buckley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cefn Druids have won more games recently than Buckley.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Buckley taking it.
- Cefn Druids have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Buckley, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Buckley have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 20%
Buckley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cefn Druids | Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 2.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.04 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 27, 2023 Cymru North
Buckley vs Cefn Druids
5:0
Oct 15, 2022 Cymru North
Cefn Druids vs Buckley
3:1
Aug 5, 2022 League Cup
Cefn Druids vs Buckley
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cefn Druids Compare
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02
Buckley Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cefn Druids 10 / 100
Buckley 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cefn Druids Buckley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buckley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Buckley conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Cefn Druids's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Cefn Druids stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Buckley
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cefn Druids
(Home) 15 Apr
Prestatyn
8 : 0 Cefn Druids
07 Apr
Cefn Druids
1 : 2 Ruthin Town
31 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 1 Llandudno FC
25 Mar
Holyhead
1 : 1 Cefn Druids
03 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 3 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6
07 Apr
Cefn Druids
1 : 2 Ruthin Town
31 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 1 Llandudno FC
03 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 3 Porthmadog
17 Feb
Cefn Druids
3 : 0 Conwy Borough
07 Feb
Cefn Druids
0 : 2 Guilsfield
Page 1 of 3
Buckley
(Away) 12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3 Buckley
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0 Buckley
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1 Guilsfield
21 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Buckley
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3 Buckley
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0 Buckley
21 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Buckley
08 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 1 Buckley
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1 Buckley
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Caersws FC 2
Prestatyn 1
Mold Alexandra 2
Holywell Town FC 3
Guilsfield -
TBD -
Ruthin Town 4
Porthmadog 1
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town -
Goytre Utd 1
Trefelin 6
Ynyshir Albions 1
Taffs Well 4
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Briton Ferry 3
Afan Lido 2
TBD -
Cwmbran Celtic -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Llantwit Major 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Holyhead 1
Llandudno FC 2
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Chirk AAA FC 1
Conwy Borough 0
TBD -
Bala -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Penrhyncoch 0
Buckley 2
Denbigh 0
Gresford 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Ammanford Town -
TBD -
Pure Swansea 4
Cambrian United 3
Llanelli 1
Abergavenny Town 2
TBD -
Penybont -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Pontardawe 1
Llanidloes Town 2
1/16-finals
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 1
Caersws FC 1
Holywell Town FC 6
Guilsfield 0
Ruthin Town 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Flint Town 1
Trefelin 0
Taffs Well 5
Haverfordwest 4
Barry Town 2
Afan Lido 5
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 0
Holyhead 0
Caernarfon 1
Chirk AAA FC 1
Bala 6
Cefn Druids 0
Buckley 1
Gresford 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Ammanford Town 2
Pure Swansea 1
Abergavenny Town -
Penybont -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Newtown 1
Aberystwyth 2
Llanidloes Town 1
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Holywell Town FC 0
Ruthin Town 1
Flint Town 3
Taffs Well 2
Haverfordwest 1
Afan Lido 2
Pontypridd United 0
Caernarfon 1
Bala 4
Buckley 2
Gresford 3
Ammanford Town 2
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Aberystwyth 2
Quarter-finals
Connahs Q. 2
Ruthin Town 0
Taffs Well 2
Afan Lido 1
Bala 4
Gresford 0
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Semi-finals
Connahs Q. 2
Taffs Well 0
Bala 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Final
Connahs Q. 0
Bala 1
