Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceilandense U20 vs ARUC U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ARUC U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored ARUC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ceilandense U20
35%
Draws
16%
ARUC U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ceilandense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • ARUC U20 have won more games recently than Ceilandense U20.
  • Model gives Ceilandense U20 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ceilandense U20 Clean Sheet 20%
ARUC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense U20 ARUC U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 23 22
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 3.83 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandense U20 vs ARUC U20
1:3
May 22, 2022 Brasiliense U20
ARUC U20 vs Ceilandense U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense U20 85 / 100
ARUC U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense U20 ARUC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceilandense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ARUC U20 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Ceilandense U20's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ceilandense U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandense U20 VS ARUC U20
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 4.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Ceilandense U20
0 : 8
Real Brasilia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1
Ceilandense U20
12 Jul
Santa Maria U20
3 : 1
Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandense U20
2 : 2
Brasilia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandense U20
0 : 0
Luziania U20
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ARUC U20

(Away)
25 Jul
Candango U20
10 : 0
ARUC U20
19 Jul
ARUC U20
0 : 13
Capital DF U20
12 Jul
Brasiliense U20
6 : 0
ARUC U20
05 Jul
ARUC U20
2 : 2
Samambaia U20
27 Jun
Sobradinho U20
8 : 0
ARUC U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)