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Ceilandense U20 vs Brasilia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceilandense U20 play Brasilia U20 in the Brasiliense U20. Brasilia U20 are favorites here. Recently, Ceilandense U20 averaged 0.87 goals scored and 3.58 conceded. Brasilia U20 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. In past meetings, Ceilandense U20 won 0, Brasilia U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Ceilandense U20 and 2.81 for Brasilia U20. This points to a Brasilia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ceilandense U20
22%
Draws
59%
Brasilia U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brasilia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ceilandense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Brasilia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Ceilandense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Brasilia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense U20 Brasilia U20
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 2 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.17
Goals Conceded 3.58 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandense U20 vs Brasilia U20
2:2
Jun 3, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandense U20 vs Brasilia U20
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense U20 19 / 100
Brasilia U20 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense U20 Brasilia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasilia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Brasilia U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ceilandense U20 attacking → ← attacking Brasilia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceilandense U20 scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Brasilia U20 let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Ceilandense U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Brasilia U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 19
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Legiao U20760115:618
2Brasiliense U20651026:016
3Capital DF U20651024:316
4Sobradinho U20640223:412
5Samambaia U2063218:411
6Candango U2072147:197
7Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20720511:216
8Samambaense U2072055:316
9Gama U20612315:155
10Brazlandia U2061147:104
11ARUC U2060061:290
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Planaltina U20761023:519
2Canaa U20660030:518
3Real Brasilia U20650129:515
4Gremio Valparaiso U20630313:129
5Brasilia U20722313:158
6Santa Maria U20621311:157
7Paranoa U20721411:177
8Cruzeiro DF U2061237:165
9Ceilandense U2061232:115
10Ceilandia U20711513:334
11Luziania U2060245:232