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Ceilandense U20 vs Brasilia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 game between Ceilandense U20 and Brasilia U20 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ceilandense U20
35%
Draws
41%
Brasilia U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brasilia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Brasilia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Brasilia U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ceilandense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Brasilia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense U20 Brasilia U20
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 2 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.27
Goals Conceded 3.77 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandense U20 vs Brasilia U20
2:2
Jun 3, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandense U20 vs Brasilia U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense U20 10 / 100
Brasilia U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense U20 Brasilia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasilia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasilia U20 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Ceilandense U20 found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Ceilandense U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandense U20 VS Brasilia U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Ceilandense U20
0 : 8
Real Brasilia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1
Ceilandense U20
12 Jul
Santa Maria U20
3 : 1
Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandense U20
2 : 2
Brasilia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandense U20
0 : 0
Luziania U20
Page 1 of 7

Brasilia U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Canaa U20
5 : 0
Brasilia U20
12 Jul
Brasilia U20
4 : 0
Luziania U20
04 Jul
Ceilandense U20
2 : 2
Brasilia U20
28 Jun
Brasilia U20
0 : 0
Planaltina U20
21 Jun
Santa Maria U20
2 : 1
Brasilia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 10 9 1 0 45:4 28
2 Capital DF U20 10 8 1 1 54:11 25
3 Samambaia U20 10 6 3 1 28:7 21
4 Sobradinho U20 10 6 2 2 40:5 20
5 Legiao U20 10 6 1 3 18:13 19
6 Candango U20 10 3 1 6 17:30 10
7 Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20 10 3 1 6 15:30 10
8 Gama U20 10 2 3 5 21:23 9
9 Brazlandia U20 10 2 2 6 14:31 8
10 Samambaense U20 10 2 0 8 5:46 6
11 ARUC U20 10 0 1 9 3:60 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa U20 10 10 0 0 48:6 30
2 Real Brasilia U20 10 9 0 1 48:5 27
3 Planaltina U20 10 7 1 2 30:9 22
4 Santa Maria U20 10 5 2 3 26:18 17
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 5 0 5 20:26 15
6 Brasilia U20 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
7 Paranoa U20 10 3 1 6 13:28 10
8 Ceilandia U20 10 2 2 6 21:38 8
9 Ceilandense U20 10 1 4 5 6:25 7
10 Cruzeiro DF U20 10 1 3 6 11:27 6
11 Luziania U20 10 0 2 8 5:43 2
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)