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Ceilandense vs Legiao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2013
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ceilandense
30%
Draws
23%
Legiao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceilandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Legiao have won more games recently than Ceilandense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 20%
Legiao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense Legiao
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.86 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Ceilandense
1:1
Feb 27, 2014 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Ceilandense
1:2
Feb 7, 2013 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Legiao
2:2
Mar 4, 2012 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Legiao
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense 31 / 100
Legiao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense Legiao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceilandense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legiao let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Legiao registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ceilandense scored in 49% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandense VS Legiao
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense

(Home)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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Legiao

(Away)
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
23 Feb
Sobradinho
2 : 0
Legiao
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
13 Feb
Legiao
1 : 2
Ceilandia
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
2 Sobradinho 6 2 1 3 13:14 7
3 Luziania 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Unai EC 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
5 Legiao 6 0 4 2 5:8 4
6 Botafogo DF 6 0 2 4 4:13 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasilia FC (DF) 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Gama 6 3 3 0 12:7 12
3 Ceilandia 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
4 Capital 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
5 Ceilandense 6 2 1 3 10:8 7
6 Brazlandia 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (First stage - Play Offs)