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Ceilandense vs Luziania

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2014
Ceilandense Logo

Ceilandense

1 - 2
FT
Luziania Logo

Luziania

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Luziania in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luziania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ceilandense
20%
Draws
51%
Luziania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luziania lately — more wins on the board than Ceilandense.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Luziania taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Luziania have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 10%
Luziania Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense Luziania
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.6 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Luziania
0:1
Feb 11, 2015 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Ceilandense
4:0
Jan 26, 2014 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Luziania
1:2
Feb 3, 2013 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Ceilandense
2:1
Feb 25, 2012 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Ceilandense
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense 26 / 100
Luziania 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense Luziania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luziania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Luziania has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Ceilandense scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Ceilandense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandense VS Luziania
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense

(Home)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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Luziania

(Away)
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
27 Sept
Brasilia FC (DF)
2 : 1
Luziania
21 Sept
ARUC
0 : 0
Luziania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luziania 11 7 2 2 11:5 23
2 Brasiliense 11 6 5 0 14:4 23
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 11 5 5 1 14:9 20
4 Sobradinho 11 6 1 4 22:12 19
5 Gama 11 4 3 4 11:9 15
6 Ceilandia 11 4 3 4 13:12 15
7 Unai EC 11 4 2 5 10:12 14
8 Santa Maria 11 4 2 5 9:11 14
9 Bosque Formosa 11 4 1 6 16:21 13
10 Ceilandense 11 3 2 6 9:18 11
11 Capital 11 2 2 7 8:15 8
12 Legiao 11 1 4 6 10:19 7
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 (Play Offs)