Sport Picks

Ceilandia vs Goianesia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Serie D 2025 Estadio Maria de Lourdes Abadia (Abadiao), Ceilândia

Ceilandia

2 - 0

Goianesia

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Cordeiro Nunes K. L.

45'

71'

Junior Timbo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ceilandia in this Serie D 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Ceilandia

35%

Draws

35%

Goianesia

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Ceilandia have won more games recently than Goianesia.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%

Ceilandia Clean Sheet 16%

Goianesia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ceilandia	Goianesia
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	10	9
Draws	9	11
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.27	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Serie D

Ceilandia vs Goianesia

2:0

Apr 20, 2025 Serie D

Goianesia vs Ceilandia

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceilandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordeiro Nunes K. L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Junior Timbo

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Goianesia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia 36 / 100

Goianesia 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ceilandia Goianesia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goianesia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceilandia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Goianesia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ceilandia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia VS Goianesia

1 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandia

(Home)

28 Jun

Luverdense

1 : 1

Ceilandia

20 Jun

Ceilandia

1 : 2

Luverdense

07 Jun

Mixto

1 : 1

Ceilandia

30 May

Ceilandia

1 : 1

Goiatuba EC

23 May

Uniao Rondonopolis

2 : 3

Ceilandia

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Goianesia

(Away)

07 Oct

Sao Luis

1 : 3

Goianesia

03 Oct

Tupy FC

1 : 3

Goianesia

27 Sept

Goianesia

0 : 1

Mineiros

24 Sept

Goianesia

1 : 1

Rio Verde

19 Sept

Trindade

1 : 0

Goianesia

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