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Celano vs Matelica

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 game between Celano and Matelica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Celano
30%
Draws
64%
Matelica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matelica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Matelica come out ahead of Celano on wins alone.
  • Model gives Matelica a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Celano Clean Sheet 18%
Matelica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celano Matelica
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.73 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Celano
1:1
Dec 21, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Matelica
2:1
Apr 13, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Celano
0:0
Dec 1, 2013 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Matelica
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celano 12 / 100
Matelica 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celano Matelica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matelica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Matelica conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Celano scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Celano has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Matelica
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celano

(Home)
10 May
Celano
0 : 1
Vis Pesaro
03 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Celano
26 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Campobasso
19 Apr
Fermana
1 : 0
Celano
12 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
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Matelica

(Away)
26 May
Renate
1 : 1
Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3
Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1
Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0
Imolese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maceratese 34 22 12 0 61:22 78
2 Fano 34 22 8 4 60:25 74
3 Sambenedettese 34 18 9 7 71:40 63
4 Campobasso 34 15 12 7 49:42 57
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 13 8 59:46 52
6 Calcio Chieti 34 12 14 8 52:46 50
7 Civitanovese Calcio 34 13 11 10 56:51 50
8 Matelica 34 11 12 11 36:34 45
9 Giulianova 34 10 15 9 44:43 45
10 Fermana 34 11 9 14 37:44 42
11 Jesina 34 10 12 12 40:38 42
12 Termoli 34 10 9 15 31:53 39
13 Recanatese 34 9 12 13 37:44 39
14 Amiternina 34 9 11 14 30:45 38
15 Castelfidardo 34 7 10 17 25:49 31
16 Agnonese 34 8 7 19 31:51 31
17 Vis Pesaro 34 6 11 17 35:45 29
18 Celano 34 4 5 25 23:59 17
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 (Play Out)