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Celaya 2 vs CD Ayense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celaya 2 host CD Ayense in the Liga Premier Serie B. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Celaya 2 at 1.75 goals for, 1.25 against; CD Ayense at 1.45 for, 1.17 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.31, favoring Celaya 2. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Celaya 2
33%
Draws
19%
CD Ayense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Celaya 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ayense come out ahead of Celaya 2 on wins alone.
  • Celaya 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Celaya 2 Clean Sheet 18%
CD Ayense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celaya 2 CD Ayense
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 0 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celaya 2 49 / 100
CD Ayense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celaya 2 CD Ayense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celaya 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celaya 2 scored in 100% of their last 4 games.

Defensive concern: CD Ayense conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Celaya 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: CD Ayense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celaya 2 VS CD Ayense
1.4 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celaya 2

(Home)
16 Oct
Celaya 2
1 : 1
Huracanes Izcalli
03 Oct
Internacional Laguna
2 : 3
Celaya 2
18 Sept
Celaya 2
2 : 1
Irapuato II
04 Sept
Celaya 2
1 : 1
Cruz Azul Lagunas

CD Ayense

(Away)
16 Oct
Heroes de Zaci 2
0 : 0
CD Ayense
04 Oct
CD Ayense
1 : 2
Racing de Veracruz 2
19 Sept
Cruz Azul Lagunas
2 : 1
CD Ayense
05 Sept
Gorilas
1 : 0
CD Ayense
30 Aug
CD Ayense
2 : 0
Huracanes Izcalli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 2 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Irapuato II 5 3 1 1 9:5 11
3 Gorilas 5 3 0 2 16:5 10
4 Huracanes Izcalli 5 2 1 2 9:6 8
5 Celaya 2 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 Cruz Azul Lagunas 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 Heroes de Zaci 2 5 1 1 3 4:11 5
8 CD Ayense 5 1 1 3 4:5 4
9 Internacional Laguna 5 1 1 3 6:17 4
10 Atletico Hidalgo 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B (Play Offs)