Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés

Celaya

3 - 0

Canoneros FC

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Recalde B.

36'

Hernandez J.

54'

Salazar A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Celaya in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Celaya

39%

Draws

31%

Canoneros FC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Canoneros FC haven't matched Celaya's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Celaya Clean Sheet 68%

Canoneros FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Celaya	Canoneros FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	10
Draws	6	2
Losses	9	18
Goals Scored	1.13	1.88
Goals Conceded	2	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Celaya vs Canoneros FC

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Aug 29, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Canoneros FC vs Celaya

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Recalde B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hernandez J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Canoneros FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celaya 41 / 100

Canoneros FC 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Celaya Canoneros FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celaya scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Canoneros FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Celaya remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celaya VS Canoneros FC

1.13 Goals Scored 1.88

2 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17