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Celaya vs Jaguares De Chiapas

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
Celaya Logo

Celaya

1 - 1
FT
Jaguares De Chiapas Logo

Jaguares De Chiapas

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
84' Event
90'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Celaya and Jaguares De Chiapas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Celaya
35%
Draws
20%
Jaguares De Chiapas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Celaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Celaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Celaya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Celaya Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguares De Chiapas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celaya Jaguares De Chiapas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.87 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Celaya vs Jaguares De Chiapas
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Jaguares De Chiapas vs Celaya
0:1
Nov 9, 2002 Liga MX
Celaya vs Jaguares De Chiapas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celaya 85 / 100
Jaguares De Chiapas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celaya Jaguares De Chiapas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celaya's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Celaya remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Jaguares De Chiapas let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Celaya VS Jaguares De Chiapas
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celaya

(Home)
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
06 Sept
Celaya
2 : 0
Tapachula
29 Aug
Pioneros
0 : 3
Celaya
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2
Celaya
Page 1 of 6

Jaguares De Chiapas

(Away)
12 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 0
Jaguares De Chiapas
06 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
2 : 3
Montaneses
29 Aug
Chapulineros
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
12 Apr
Celaya
1 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
29 Mar
Jaguares De Chiapas
0 : 0
Chapulineros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)