Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celik Zenica vs BFK Simm Bau

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 Bilino Polje, Zenica
Sun, Nov 17, 2024
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celik Zenica host BFK Simm Bau in the Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025. Celik Zenica go into this one as the clear favorite. Celik Zenica have averaged 2 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against BFK Simm Bau's 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. Past meetings favor Celik Zenica slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Celik Zenica. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Celik Zenica
25%
Draws
35%
BFK Simm Bau
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Celik Zenica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celik Zenica lately — more wins on the board than BFK Simm Bau.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Celik Zenica Clean Sheet 20%
BFK Simm Bau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celik Zenica BFK Simm Bau
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 18 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
BFK Simm Bau vs Celik Zenica
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Celik Zenica vs BFK Simm Bau
0:0
May 11, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Celik Zenica vs BFK Simm Bau
2:1
Oct 14, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
BFK Simm Bau vs Celik Zenica
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celik Zenica 31 / 100
BFK Simm Bau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celik Zenica BFK Simm Bau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celik Zenica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celik Zenica scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Celik Zenica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Celik Zenica VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celik Zenica

(Home)
18 Sept
Zeljeznicar
1 : 1
Celik Zenica
11 Sept
Celik Zenica
3 : 2
Radnik Bijeljina
05 Sept
BSK Banja Luka
3 : 2
Celik Zenica
01 Sept
FK Sloga Meridian
0 : 0
Celik Zenica
28 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 0
Velez Mostar
Page 1 of 6

BFK Simm Bau

(Away)

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stupcanica 28 16 6 6 50:29 54
2 Bratstvo Gracanica 28 15 1 12 38:38 46
3 Celik Zenica 28 13 6 9 40:29 45
4 Hadzici 28 12 9 7 41:31 45
5 Banovici 28 12 7 9 42:33 43
6 Travnik 28 11 9 8 37:30 42
7 Tuzla City 28 12 6 10 33:33 42
8 Tomislav 28 11 8 9 38:28 41
9 TOSK Tesanj 28 11 7 10 41:38 40
10 Jedinstvo Bihac 28 10 9 9 32:32 39
11 Gradina Srebrenik 28 10 7 11 35:36 37
12 Gorazde 28 8 11 9 32:35 35
13 Gradacac 28 10 3 15 43:40 33
14 Gornji Rahic 28 8 7 13 43:56 31
15 Radnicki Lukavac 28 1 4 23 23:80 7
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