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Celik Zenica vs Bratstvo Gracanica

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celik Zenica play Bratstvo Gracanica in the Prva Liga - FBiH. It looks like a close match. Recently, Celik Zenica averaged 1.81 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Bratstvo Gracanica averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Celik Zenica won 3, Bratstvo Gracanica won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Celik Zenica and 1.19 for Bratstvo Gracanica. This points to a Celik Zenica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Celik Zenica
29%
Draws
25%
Bratstvo Gracanica
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Celik Zenica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Celik Zenica picked up more points recently compared to Bratstvo Gracanica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Celik Zenica Clean Sheet 20%
Bratstvo Gracanica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celik Zenica Bratstvo Gracanica
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.81 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
Celik Zenica vs Bratstvo Gracanica
3:3
Sep 21, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Bratstvo Gracanica vs Celik Zenica
0:1
May 10, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Bratstvo Gracanica vs Celik Zenica
0:2
Oct 20, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Celik Zenica vs Bratstvo Gracanica
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Celik Zenica vs Bratstvo Gracanica
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celik Zenica Compare

Top Goalscorer Masic A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Bratstvo Gracanica Compare

Top Goalscorer Poturalic H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Okic H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celik Zenica 45 / 100
Bratstvo Gracanica 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celik Zenica Bratstvo Gracanica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Celik Zenica or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Celik Zenica attacking → ← attacking Bratstvo Gracanica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celik Zenica scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Bratstvo Gracanica let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Celik Zenica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bratstvo Gracanica lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 40
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Celik Zenica26178152:1959
2Stupcanica26125940:2741
3Sloboda Tuzla26125934:2941
4Jedinstvo Bihac26125929:3641
5NK GOSK Gabela26117836:2640
6Travnik26107935:2637
7TOSK Tesanj26107935:3037
8Hadzici261061034:3736
9Tomislav26881038:3532
10Igman Konjic26951229:4432
11Banovici26871131:3331
12Bratstvo Gracanica26710926:2831
13NK Vitez26841427:3828
14Tuzla City26521920:5817