Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celje vs O. Ljubljana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Z'dezele, Celje
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Mitrovski D.
46'
Sub
Koutris L. In: Avdyli M.
Out: Koutris L.
46'
Sub
Hrka D. In: Tutyskinas A.
Out: Hrka D.

AI Match Summary

The Prva liga game between Celje and O. Ljubljana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Celje
20%
Draws
57%
O. Ljubljana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Celje's 1.67 goals per match outpaces what O. Ljubljana have produced (1.31).
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on O. Ljubljana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Celje Clean Sheet 16%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje O. Ljubljana
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs O. Ljubljana
1:0
Apr 15, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs O. Ljubljana
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Celje
3:1
Dec 4, 2025 Slovenian Cup
O. Ljubljana vs Celje
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Prva liga
Celje vs O. Ljubljana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Letonja T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

O. Ljubljana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 11 / 100
O. Ljubljana 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje O. Ljubljana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O. Ljubljana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celje's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

O. Ljubljana has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Celje went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS O. Ljubljana
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celje

(Home)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
Celje
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1
Koper
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
Page 1 of 6

O. Ljubljana

(Away)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
20 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
O. Ljubljana
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)