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Celoricense vs Sao Martinho

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Alves D.
57'
Alves D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Celoricense and Sao Martinho finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Celoricense
15%
Draws
37%
Sao Martinho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celoricense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Celoricense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Celoricense a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celoricense Sao Martinho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Sao Martinho
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs Celoricense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celoricense 36 / 100
Sao Martinho 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celoricense Sao Martinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celoricense scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Sao Martinho let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Celoricense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Celoricense VS Sao Martinho
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celoricense

(Home)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
Page 1 of 6

Sao Martinho

(Away)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)