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Celoricense vs Tirsense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Celoricense
15%
Draws
42%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celoricense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tirsense haven't matched Celoricense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tirsense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 27%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celoricense Tirsense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Tirsense
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Tirsense
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Celoricense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celoricense 25 / 100
Tirsense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celoricense Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celoricense found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Celoricense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Tirsense conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Celoricense VS Tirsense
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celoricense

(Home)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
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Tirsense

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)