Sport Picks

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Celta Vigo B vs Ponferradina

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gonzalez H.
43' Event
Valle B.
56'
Novoa G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Celta Vigo B advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Celta Vigo B
20%
Draws
46%
Ponferradina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ponferradina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ponferradina have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Celta Vigo B are scoring more at 1.61.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Celta Vigo B, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 21%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo B Ponferradina
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Ponferradina
4:1
Jun 13, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Celta Vigo B
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Celta Vigo B
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Ponferradina
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Ponferradina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celta Vigo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Somuah B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ponferradina Compare

Top Goalscorer Valle B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo B 32 / 100
Ponferradina 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo B Ponferradina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ponferradina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo B scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Ponferradina has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Celta Vigo B remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo B VS Ponferradina
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo B

(Home)
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
14 Sept
Celta Vigo B
0 : 4
Eibar
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
24 Aug
Celta Vigo B
4 : 2
FC Andorra
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Ponferradina

(Away)
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2
Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Celta Vigo B 4
CE Europa 3
Atl. Madrid B 0
Ponferradina 1
Sabadell 3
Real Madrid B 2
Zamora 2
Villarreal B 2
Final
Celta Vigo B 4
Ponferradina 1
Sabadell 4
Zamora 1