Sport Picks
Celta Vigo vs Ath Bilbao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo 
Match Events
20'
20'
Berenguer A.
Assist: Williams I.
22'
22'
Navarro R.
Assist: Ruiz de Galarreta I.
46'
46'
Sub
Gonzalez H. In: Aspas I.
Out: Gonzalez H.
AI Match Summary
Ath Bilbao in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ath Bilbao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ath Bilbao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Ath Bilbao have won more games recently than Celta Vigo.
- Win probability leans Celta Vigo's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 68%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celta Vigo | Ath Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Ath Bilbao
0:2
May 17, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Celta Vigo
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Ath Bilbao
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Ath Bilbao
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Celta Vigo
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Celta Vigo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Ath Bilbao Compare
Top Goalscorer Berenguer A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Navarro R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celta Vigo 59 / 100
Ath Bilbao 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celta Vigo Ath Bilbao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Celta Vigo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celta Vigo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Ath Bilbao let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Celta Vigo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Celta Vigo VS Ath Bilbao
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Celta Vigo
(Home) 11 Oct
Elche
0 : 0 Celta Vigo
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0 Racing Santander
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0 Celta Vigo
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 Malaga
07 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1 Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0 Racing Santander
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 Malaga
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 Osasuna
29 Jul
Celta Vigo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 3
Ath Bilbao
(Away) 02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 Ath Bilbao
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0 Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 Ath Bilbao
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0 Ath Bilbao
21 Aug
Zaragoza
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | 13 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Dep. A Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:17 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
