Sport Picks
Celta Vigo vs Bologna
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo 
Match Events
17'
17'
Zaragoza B.
Assist: Swedberg W.
46'
46'
Sub
Zaragoza B. In: Alvarez H.
Out: Zaragoza B.
59'
59'
Pobega T.
AI Match Summary
Bologna in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bologna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Celta Vigo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bologna lately — more wins on the board than Celta Vigo.
- Celta Vigo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 20%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celta Vigo | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 11, 2025 Europa League
Celta Vigo vs Bologna
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Celta Vigo Compare
Top Goalscorer Zaragoza B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Bologna Compare
Top Goalscorer Bernardeschi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celta Vigo 76 / 100
Bologna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celta Vigo Bologna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Celta Vigo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celta Vigo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Bologna let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Celta Vigo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Celta Vigo VS Bologna
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Celta Vigo
(Home) 19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0 Racing Santander
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0 Celta Vigo
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 Malaga
07 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1 Celta Vigo
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0 Racing Santander
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 Malaga
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 Osasuna
29 Jul
Celta Vigo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 3
Bologna
(Away) 19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1 Torino
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0 Bologna
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2 Sassuolo
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1 Lazio
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0 Bologna
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
15 Aug
Brighton
1 : 0 Bologna
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1 Bologna
11 May
Napoli
2 : 3 Bologna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
