Sport Picks
Celta Vigo vs Lille
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo 
Match Events
1'
1'
Swedberg W.
Assist: Aspas I.
10'
10'
Sub
Bentaleb N. In: Mandi A.
Out: Bentaleb N.
29'
29'
Sotelo H.
AI Match Summary
Celta Vigo in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celta Vigo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lille
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lille lately — more wins on the board than Celta Vigo.
- Model gives Lille a 42% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Celta Vigo have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 15%
Lille Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celta Vigo | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 22, 2026 Europa League
Celta Vigo vs Lille
2:1
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Lille vs Celta Vigo
3:1
Jul 27, 2019 Club Friendly
Celta Vigo vs Lille
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Celta Vigo Compare
Top Goalscorer Swedberg W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Starfelt C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lille Compare
Top Goalscorer Giroud O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celta Vigo 27 / 100
Lille 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celta Vigo Lille
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lille Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Celta Vigo scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Celta Vigo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Lille conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Celta Vigo VS Lille
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Celta Vigo
(Home) 30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 Osasuna
22 Aug
Valencia
0 : 0 Celta Vigo
08 Aug
Napoli
1 : 1 Celta Vigo
05 Aug
Sassuolo
1 : 4 Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 Osasuna
29 Jul
Celta Vigo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
25 Jul
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 Gijon
23 May
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 Sevilla
Page 1 of 3
Lille
(Away) 28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2 Lille
15 Aug
Everton
1 : 1 Lille
08 Aug
Hamburger
2 : 2 Lille
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6 Lille
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2 Lille
15 Aug
Everton
1 : 1 Lille
08 Aug
Hamburger
2 : 2 Lille
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6 Lille
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1 Lille
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
