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Celtic vs Aberdeen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Celtic Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Duran C.
Assist: Nygren B.
34' Event
Nygren B.
38'
Carter-Vickers C.

AI Match Summary

Celtic in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Celtic
15%
Draws
46%
Aberdeen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic lately — more wins on the board than Aberdeen.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Celtic have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Celtic Clean Sheet 11%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Aberdeen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.24 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Aberdeen
3:0
Mar 4, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Celtic
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Aberdeen
3:1
Aug 10, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Celtic
0:2
May 24, 2025 Scottish Cup
Aberdeen vs Celtic
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nygren B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aberdeen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 29 / 100
Aberdeen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Aberdeen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Aberdeen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Celtic remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Aberdeen
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
22 Oct
Celtic
1 : 2
Celta Vigo
18 Oct
Celtic
7 : 1
Hearts
15 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1
Celtic
11 Oct
Motherwell
0 : 2
Celtic
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Aberdeen

(Away)
24 Oct
Dundee Utd
3 : 2
Aberdeen
17 Oct
Aberdeen
3 : 1
St. Mirren
11 Oct
Aberdeen
0 : 1
St Johnstone
03 Oct
Dunfermline
1 : 4
Aberdeen
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13:7 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee FC 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
6 Dundee Utd 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
8 St. Mirren 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10:20 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)