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Celtic vs Celta Vigo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Celtic Park, Glasgow
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celtic host Celta Vigo in the Europa League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Celta Vigo have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Celtic have conceded 1.39 and scored 2.04. Head-to-head, Celtic have won 1 to Celta Vigo's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 12, 2002, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.06) point toward Celtic. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Celtic
20%
Draws
50%
Celta Vigo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Celta Vigo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic lately — more wins on the board than Celta Vigo.
  • Win probability leans Celta Vigo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Celtic Clean Sheet 20%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Celta Vigo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.04 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2002 Europa League
Celta Vigo vs Celtic
2:1
Nov 28, 2002 Europa League
Celtic vs Celta Vigo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 20 / 100
Celta Vigo 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Celta Vigo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celta Vigo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Celta Vigo conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Celtic remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Celta Vigo
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
15 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1
Celtic
11 Oct
Motherwell
0 : 2
Celtic
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Celta Vigo

(Away)
15 Oct
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Juventus
11 Oct
Elche
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1
Malaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Bayer Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Benfica 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
4 Besiktas 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
5 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Omonia 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
7 Ferencvaros 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
8 Lyon 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
9 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
10 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
11 Sparta Prague 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
12 Royale Union SG 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
13 Rennes 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
14 Din. Zagreb 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
15 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
16 AC Milan 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
17 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
18 OFI Crete 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
19 Torreense 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
20 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
21 Salzburg 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
22 Real Sociedad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
23 Lillestrom 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
24 Levski Sofia 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
25 H. Beer Sheva 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Sturm Graz 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
27 Nijmegen 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
28 Celta Vigo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
29 Anderlecht 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
30 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
31 Plzen 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
32 Marseille 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
33 Celtic 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
34 Ararat-Armenia 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
35 Celje 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
36 Lech Poznan 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)