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Celtic vs Falkirk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Celtic Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Duran C.
29' Event
Duran C.
Assist: Tierney K.
35'
Neilson L.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between Celtic and Falkirk finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Celtic
15%
Draws
45%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celtic come out ahead of Falkirk on wins alone.
  • Celtic are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celtic here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Celtic Clean Sheet 16%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Falkirk
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.27 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
3:1
Feb 1, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
2:0
Jan 14, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Celtic
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Falkirk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 41 / 100
Falkirk 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Falkirk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Celtic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Falkirk
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
25 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Celtic
22 Oct
Celtic
1 : 2
Celta Vigo
18 Oct
Celtic
7 : 1
Hearts
15 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1
Celtic
11 Oct
Motherwell
0 : 2
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Falkirk

(Away)
24 Oct
Falkirk
3 : 0
Kilmarnock
17 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Falkirk
10 Oct
Falkirk
1 : 2
Dundee FC
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 10 9 0 1 25:6 27
2 Rangers 10 7 2 1 17:7 23
3 Hearts 10 6 1 3 22:15 19
4 Dundee Utd 10 4 3 3 14:14 15
5 Dundee FC 10 4 2 4 14:12 14
6 St. Mirren 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
7 Falkirk 10 3 3 4 12:12 12
8 St Johnstone 10 3 3 4 11:15 12
9 Aberdeen 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
10 Motherwell 10 2 2 6 11:18 8
11 Kilmarnock 10 2 2 6 10:23 8
12 Hibernian 10 2 1 7 10:16 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)