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Celtic vs Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Celtic Park, Glasgow
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celtic host Hearts in the Premiership. This one's hard to separate. Hearts have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Celtic have conceded 1.33 and scored 2.1. Past meetings favor Celtic slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.94) point toward Celtic. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Celtic
15%
Draws
53%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Celtic have won more games recently than Hearts.
  • Hearts are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Hearts Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Hearts
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.1 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Hearts
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Celtic
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Hearts
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Celtic
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Hearts
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 14 / 100
Hearts 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hearts let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Celtic remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Hearts
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Hearts

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)