Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celtic vs Kilmarnock - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Celtic Park, Glasgow
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celtic host Kilmarnock in the Premiership. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Celtic at 2.19 goals for, 1.39 against; Kilmarnock at 1.54 for, 1.54 against. Head-to-head, Celtic have won 5 to Kilmarnock's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 1:5. xG projections (1.56 - 1.25) back Celtic to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Celtic
15%
Draws
46%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilmarnock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic lately — more wins on the board than Kilmarnock.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Celtic taking it.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celtic here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Celtic Clean Sheet 19%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Kilmarnock
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 20 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.19 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Celtic
1:5
Feb 15, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Celtic
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Kilmarnock
4:0
Sep 14, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Celtic
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Kilmarnock
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 76 / 100
Kilmarnock 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Kilmarnock has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Celtic remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Kilmarnock
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
22 Oct
Celtic
1 : 2
Celta Vigo
18 Oct
Celtic
7 : 1
Hearts
15 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1
Celtic
11 Oct
Motherwell
0 : 2
Celtic
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Kilmarnock

(Away)
24 Oct
Falkirk
3 : 0
Kilmarnock
17 Oct
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Motherwell
10 Oct
Rangers
3 : 1
Kilmarnock
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 10 7 2 1 17:7 23
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee Utd 10 4 3 3 14:14 15
5 Dundee FC 10 4 2 4 14:12 14
6 St. Mirren 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
7 Falkirk 10 3 3 4 12:12 12
8 St Johnstone 10 3 3 4 11:15 12
9 Aberdeen 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 10 2 2 6 10:23 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)