Sport Picks

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Celtic vs Rangers

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Celtic Logo

Celtic

3 - 1
FT
Rangers Logo

Rangers

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Moore M.
19'
Ramalho Chermiti Y.
23' Event
Yang Hyun-Jun
Assist: Engels A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Celtic in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Celtic
15%
Draws
47%
Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic lately — more wins on the board than Rangers.
  • Model gives Rangers a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Celtic Clean Sheet 19%
Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Rangers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.16 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 League Cup
Rangers vs Celtic
3:0
May 10, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Rangers
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Scottish Cup
Rangers vs Celtic
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Premiership
Rangers vs Celtic
2:2
Jan 3, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Rangers
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Maeda D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yang Hyun-Jun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 28 / 100
Rangers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Rangers has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Celtic stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Rangers
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 7

Rangers

(Away)
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 73:41 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 67:34 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 76:43 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 59:36 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 58:44 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 50:62 49
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)