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Celtic vs St. Mirren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Celtic Park, Glasgow
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celtic host St. Mirren in the Premiership. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Celtic at 2.19 goals for, 1.39 against; St. Mirren at 1.38 for, 1.66 against. Head-to-head, Celtic have won 4 to St. Mirren's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.13) back Celtic to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Celtic
15%
Draws
28%
St. Mirren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Celtic have won more games recently than St. Mirren.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Celtic taking it.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celtic here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Celtic Clean Sheet 20%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic St. Mirren
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.19 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Celtic
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 Scottish Cup
Celtic vs St. Mirren
6:2
Apr 11, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs St. Mirren
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 League Cup
St. Mirren vs Celtic
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Celtic
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 85 / 100
St. Mirren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic St. Mirren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celtic scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

St. Mirren has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: St. Mirren has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS St. Mirren
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
22 Oct
Celtic
1 : 2
Celta Vigo
18 Oct
Celtic
7 : 1
Hearts
15 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1
Celtic
11 Oct
Motherwell
0 : 2
Celtic
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
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St. Mirren

(Away)
24 Oct
St. Mirren
2 : 1
Dundee FC
17 Oct
Aberdeen
3 : 1
St. Mirren
10 Oct
Hearts
5 : 0
St. Mirren
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 10 7 2 1 17:7 23
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee Utd 10 4 3 3 14:14 15
5 Dundee FC 10 4 2 4 14:12 14
6 St. Mirren 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
7 Falkirk 10 3 3 4 12:12 12
8 St Johnstone 10 3 3 4 11:15 12
9 Aberdeen 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 10 2 2 6 10:23 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)